Working papers

Working papers will be published here (1991 onwards).
EWP (Econometrics working papers)

2023
24-02: Do Wealth Shocks Matter for the Life Satisfaction of the Elderly? Evidence from the Health and Retirement Study," Marco Cozzi.
24-01: An Aggregation-Consistent Implementation of the Hamilton Filter," Marco Cozzi.

2023
23-04: "Out-of-State Enrollment, Financial Aid and Academic Outcomes: Evidence from Wisconsin" Justin Wiltshire.
23-03: "Minimum Wage Effects and Monopsony Expectations" Justin Wiltshire.
23-02: "The Simple Macroeconomics of the Quantity Theory And the Welfare Cost of Inflation" Kenneth Stewart.
23-01: "Public Debt and Welfare in a Quantitative Schumpeterian Growth Model With Incomplete Markets" Marco Cozzi.

2022
22-12: "Inflation Targets and Policy Horizons" Graham Voss & Junhong Mu.
22-11: "The Adoption of Cleaner Household Technologies: When is Backfire Welfare-Improving?" Peter Kennedy.
22-10: "Heterogeneity in Macroeconomics and the Minimal Econometric Interpretation for Model Comparison" Marco Cozzi.
22-09: "Public Funding of Research and Grant Proposals in the Social Sciences: Empirical Evidence from Canada" Marco Cozzi.
22-08: "Institutional Economics and John Dewey's Instrumentalism" Malcolm Rutherford.
22-07: "Has Public Debt Been Too High in Canada and the U.S.? A Quantitative Assessment" Marco Cozzi.
22-06: "Public Debt and Welfare in a Quantitative Schumpeterian Growth Model With Incomplete Markets" Marco Cozzi.

2020
20-05: "Coase and the Scottish Political Economy Tradition" Alexander & Sheila Dow.
23-04: "The Simple Macroeconomics of the Quantity Theory And the Welfare Cost of Inflation" Kenneth Stewart.
20-03: "The Philosophical Foundation of Mainstream Macroeconomics" Sheila Dow.
20-02: "Do Wealth Shocks Matter for the Life Satisfaction of the Elderly? Evidence from the Health and Retirement Study" Marco Cozzi with Qiushan Li.
20-01: "Alfred Marshall, Evolutionary Economics and Climate Change: Raffaelli Lecture” Sheila Dow.

2019
19-01: "Has the Canadian Public Debt Been Too High? A Quantitative Assessment" Marco Cozzi.
19-02: "Old-Age Income Support, Human Capital Investment, and Efficiency: Rotten Kid Theorem Meets Samaritan's Dilemma" Alok Kumar.
19-03: "Earning Risks, Parental Schooling Investment, and Old-Age Income Support from Children" Alok Kumar.
19-04: "Inequalities in Test Scores Between Indigenous and Non-Indigenous Youth in Canada" Maggie Jones and Michael Barber.
EWP1901: "Suits' Watermelon Model: The Missing Simultaneous Equations Empirical Application" Kenneth G. Stewart.

2018
18-01: "Estimating Institutionalization and Homelessness for Status First Nations in Canada: A Method and Implications" Donn Feir and Randall Akee.
18-02: "First People Lost: Determining the State of Status First Nations Mortality in Canada using Administrative Data" Donn Feir and Randall Akee.
18-03: "Optimal Capital Taxation with Incomplete Markets and Schumpeterian Growth" Marco Cozzi.
18-04: "Efficiency Units of Labour: Life-Cycle Profiles Estimates from the CPS 1987-2017" Marco Cozzi.
18-05: "Monetary Reform, Central Banks and Digital Currencies" Sheila Dow.
18-06: "Illuminating Indigenous Economic Development" Donn Feir, Rob Gillezeau and Maggie Jones.
18-07: "Normalized CES Supply Systems: Replication of Klump, McAdam, and Willman (2007)" Ken Stewart.
18-08: "Are Factor Biases and Substitution Identifiable? The Canadian Evidence" Ken Stewart and Jiang Li.
18-09: "Public Funding of Research and Grant Proposals in the Social Sciences: Empirical Evidence from Canada" Marco Cozzi.

2017
17-01: "The Slaughter of the Bison and Reversal of Fortunes on the Great Plains" Donn Feir, Rob Gillezeau and Maggie Jones.
17-02: "The Impact of Introducing Formal Childcare Services on Labour Force Participation in Inuit Nunangat" Donn Feir and Jasmin Thomas.
17-03: "The Effect of Indian Residential Schools on Height and Body Mass Post-1930" Donn Feir and Christopher Auld.
17-04: "Illuminating Economic Development in Indigenous Communities" Donn Feir, Rob Gillezeau and Maggie Jones.
EWP1701: "Model averaging OLS and 2SLS: An application of the WALS procedure" Judith A. Clarke.
EWP1702: "Analytic Bias Correction for Maximum Likelihood Estimators when the Bias Function is Non-Constant" Ryan T. Godwin and David E. Giles.
EWP1703: "A Note on Improved Estimation for the Topp-Leone Distribution" David E. Giles.
EWP1704: "Risk Analysis for Three Precious Metals: An Application of Extreme Value Theory" Qinlu Chen and David E. Giles.

2016
16-01: "Job Displacement Risk and Severance Pay" Marco Cozzi and Giulio Fella.

2015
15-01: "The Intergenerational Effect of Forcible Assimilation Policy on Education" Donn Feir.

2014
14-01: "The Relationship Between Central Banks and Governments: What Are Central Banks For?" Sheila C. Dow.
14-02: "Gender Bias and Child Labor in LDCs" Alok Kumar and Emma Underhill.
14-03: "The Dynamics of Rural Non-farm Employment in India: Gender, Agricultural Productivity, and Literacy" Alok Kumar and Kam Shergill.
14-04: "Education and Cross-Country Productivity Differences" Alok Kumar and Brianne Kober .
14-05: "Samaritan's Dilemma, Time-Inconsistency and Foreign Aid: A Review of Theoretical Models" Alok Kumar.
14-06: "Foreign Aid, Incentives and Efficiency: Can Foreign Aid Lead to Efficient Level of Investment?" Alok Kumar.
14-07: "Do Fans Care about Compliance to Doping Regulations in Sports? The Impact of PED Suspension in Baseball" Jeffrey Cisyk and Pascal Courty.
EWP1401: "On Variance Estimation for a Gini Coefficient Estimator Obtained from Complex Survey Data" Ahmed A. Hoque and Judith A. Clarke.
EWP1402: "Risk Analysis for Three Precious Metals: An Application of Extreme Value Theory", Qinlu Chen and David E. Giles.
EWP1403: "Factor substitution, factor-augmenting technical progress, and trending factor shares: the Canadian evidence", Jiang Li and Kenneth G. Stewart.

2013
13-01: "The Long Term Effects of Forcible Assimilation Policy: The Case of Indian Boarding Schools" D. Feir.
13-02: "Inflation, Redistribution and Real Activities" A. Kumar.
13-03: "Labor Markets, Unemployment and Optimal Inflation" A. Kumar.
EWP1301: "Modelling Volatility Spillover Effects Between Developed Stock Markets and Asian Emerging Stock Markets", Yanan Li and David E. Giles.

2012
12-01: "National and Provincial Inflation in Canada: Experiences under Inflation Targeting" M. Chaban and G. M. Voss.
12-02: "Community Preferences, Insurgency, and the Success Reconstruction Spending" David Scoones and Travers Barclay Child.
12-03: "Winning Hearts and Minds: Public Good Provision in the Shadow of Insurgency" David Scoones.
12-04: "Uncertainty-Denial" Sheila C. Dow.
EWP1201: "Exact Asymptotic Goodness-of-Fit Testing For Discrete Circular Data, With Applications", David E. Giles (This paper supersedes EWP0607).
EWP1202: "Constructing Confidence Bands for the Hodrick-Prescott Filter", David E. Giles
EWP1203: "A Note on Improved Estimation for the Topp-Leone Distribution", David E. Giles
EWP1204: "Health and Wealth: Short Panel Granger Causality Tests for Developing Countries", Weichun Chen, Judith A. Clarke, & Nilanjana Roy.

2011
11-01: "Flexible Inflation Forecast Targeting: Evidence from Canada", Glenn D. Otto and Graham M. Voss.
EWP1101: "Interpreting Dummy Variables in Semi-logarithmic Regression Models: Exact Distributional Results", David E. Giles
EWP1102: "Biased-Reduced Maximum Likelihood Estimation for the Zero-Inflated Poisson Distribution", Jacob Schwartz & David E. Giles
EWP1103: "Quantity versus Quality: What’s in a (Journal) Name?", David E. Giles
EWP1104: "On the Bias of the Maximum Likelihood Estimator for the Two-Parameter Lomax Distribution", David E. Giles, Hui Feng, & Ryan T. Godwin.
EWP1105: "Bias-Corrected Maximum Likelihood Estimation of the Parameters of the Generalized Pareto Distribution", David E. Giles, Hui Feng & Ryan T. Godwin.
EWP1106: "On the Inconsistency of Instrumental Variables Estimators for the Coefficients of Certain Dummy Variables", David E. Giles.
EWP1107: "The Optimal Construction of Instruments in Nonlinear Regression: Implications for GMM Inference", Kenneth G. Stewart.
EWP1108: "On Statistical Inference for Inequality Measures Calculated from Complex Survey Data", Judith A. Clarke & Nilanjana Roy. This paper supersedes EWP1002.
EWP1109: "Improved Maximum Likelihood Estimation of the Shape Parameter in the Nakagami Distribution", Jacob Schwartz, Ryan T. Godwin, & David E. Giles.
EWP1110: "Testing for Multivariate Cointegration in the Presence of Structural Breaks: p-Values and Critical Values", David E. Giles & Ryan T. Godwin.
EWP1111: "Bias Reduction for the Maximum Likelihood Estimator of the Parameters of the Generalized Rayleigh Family of Distributions", Xiao Ling & David E. Giles.

2010
10-01: "Healthy Human Development Indices", Merwan Engineer, Nilanjana Roy & Sari Fink.
10-02: "Corruption, Development and the Curse of Natural Resources", S.M. Pendergast, Judith A. Clarke & G.C. van Kooten.
EWP1001: "Hermite Regression Analysis of Multi-Modal Count Data", David E. Giles.
EWP1002: "On Statistical Inference for Inequality Measures Calculated from Complex Survey Data", Judith A. Clarke & Nilanjana Roy. This paper supersedes EWP0904.
EWP1003: "The Extreme-Value Dependence Between the Chinese and Other International Stock Markets", Qian Chen, David E. Giles & Hui Feng.
EWP1004: "Bayesian Estimation of a Possibly Mis-Specified Linear Regression Model", David E. Giles.

2009
09-01: "The USDA Graduate School: Government Training in Statistics and Economics, 1921-1945", Malcolm Rutherford.
09-02: "Strict and Flexible Inflation Forecast Targets: An Empirical Investigation", Glenn Otto & Graham Voss.
09-03: "Share the Gain, Share the Pain? Almost Transferable Utility, Changes in Production Possibilities and Bargaining Solutions", Elisabeth Gugl & Justin Leroux. [Note: This paper replaces DDP0705.]
EWP0901: "Bias Reduction for the Maximum Likelihood Estimator of the Scale Parameter in the Half-Logistic Distribution", David E. Giles.
EWP0902: "Bias - Corrected Maximum Likelihood Estimation of the Parameters of the Generalized Pareto Distribution", David E. Giles & Hui Feng.
EWP0903: "Bayesian Fuzzy Regression Analysis and Model Selection: Theory and Evidence", Hui Feng & David E. Giles. This paper supersedes EWP0710.
EWP0904: "On Statistical Inference for Inequality Measures Calculated from Complex Survey Data", Judith A. Clarke & Nilanjana Roy. Superceded by EWP1002.
EWP0905: "Capital Structures in an Emerging Market: A Duration Analysis of the Time Interval Between IPO and SEO in China", Yang Ni, Shasha Guo & David E. Giles.
EWP0906: "Finite-Sample Properties of the Maximum Likelihood Estimator for the Binary Logit Model With Random Covariates", Qian Chen & David E. Giles. This paper supersedes EWP0801.
EWP0907: "Finite-Sample Properties of the Maximum Likelihood Estimator for the Poisson Regression Model With Random Covariates", Qian Chen & David E. Giles.
EWP0908: "Bias of the Maximum Likelihood Estimators of the Two-Parameter Gamma Distribution Revisited", David E. Giles & Hui Feng.
EWP0909: "Almost Unbiased Estimators of the Poisson Regression Model", David E. Giles & Hui Feng.

2008
08-01: "The Early Bird gets the Worm? Birth Order Effects in a Dynamic Model of the Family", Elisabeth Gugl & Linda Welling. Forthcoming in Economic Inquiry     [Note: This paper replaces DDP0710.]
08-02: "Why Larger Lenders Obtain Higher Returns: Evidence From Sovereign Syndicated Loans", I. Hallak & P. Schure.
EWP0801: "Finite-Sample Moments of the MLE for the Binary Logit Model", Qian Chen & David E. Giles. Superceded by EWP0906.
EWP0802: "Competition Within a Cartel: Correction", Scott A. Brave, Donald G. Ferguson & Kenneth G. Stewart.

2007
07-01: "The Impact of Income Splitting on Intrafamily Distribution in a Dynamic Family Bargaining Model", Elisabeth Gugl (forthcoming in Canadian Journal of Economics, as "Income Splitting, Specialization, and Intrafamily Distribution")
07-02: "Almost Transferable Utility, Changes in Production Possibilities, and the Nash Bargaining and the Kalai-Smorodinsky Solutions", Elisabeth Gugl.
07-03: "When the Powerful Drag Their Feet", Paul Schure, Francesco Passarelli & David Scoones.
07-04: "Self-Employment and Labor Market Policies", Alok Kumar & Herbert J. Schuetze.
07-05: "Share the Gain, Share the Pain? Almost Transferable Utility, Changes in Production", Elisabeth Gugl.
07-06: "Multiagent System Platform for Auction Simulations", Alan Mehlenbacher.
07-07: "Multiagent System Simulations of Sealed-Bid Auctions with Two-Dimensional Value Signals", Alan Mehlenbacher.
07-08: "Multiagent System Simulations of Signal Averaging in English Auctions with Two-Dimensional Value Signals", Alan Mehlenbacher (published in Computational Economics, 34, 119-143)
07-09: "Multiagent System Simulations of Treasury Auctions", Alan Mehlenbacher (published in Computational Economics, 34, 67-117)
07-10: "The Early Bird gets the Worm? Birth Order Effects in a Dynamic Model of the Family", Elisabeth Gugl & Linda Welling. [Note: This paper has been replaced by DDP0801.]
EWP0701: "On Weighted Regression in Linear Regression in the Presence of Parameter Uncertainty", Judith Clarke. Forthcoming in Economics Letters.
EWP0702: "General Saddlepoint Approximations: Application to the Anderson-Darling Test Statistic", Qian Chen & David E. Giles. Published in Communications in Statistics, 2008.
EWP0703: "A Saddlepoint Approximation to the Distribution of the Half-Life Estimator in an Autoregressive Model: New Insights Into the PPP Puzzle", Qian Chen & David E. Giles.
EWP0704: "An Updated Assessment of the Lucas Supply Curve", Brant Abbott & Cristina Martínèz. Published in Economics Letters, 2008.
EWP0705: "An Application of Extreme Value Analysis to U.S. Movie Box Office Returns", Guang Bi & David E. Giles. Published in Mathematics & Computers in Simulation, 2009.
EWP0706: "Some Properties of Absolute Returns as a Proxy for Volatility", David E. Giles, Published in Applied Financial Economics Letters, 2008.
EWP0707: "A Survival Analysis of the Approval of U.S. Patent Applications", Ying Xie & David E. Giles, Forthcoming in Applied Economics.
EWP0708: "Extreme Value Analysis of Daily Canadian Crude Oil Prices", Feng Ren & David E. Giles, Forthcoming in Applied Financial Economics.
EWP0709: "Nonjointness and Scope Economies in the Multiproduct Symmetric Generalized McFadden Cost Function", Kenneth G. Stewart.
EWP0710: "Bayesian Fuzzy Regression Analysis and Model Selection: Theory and Evidence", Hui Feng & David E. Giles. Superceded by EWP0903.

2006
EWP0601: "Determinants of Capital Flows: A Cross-Country Analysis", Mukesh Ralhan.
EWP0602: " Accounting for Achievement in Athens: A Count Data Analysis of National Olympic Performance", Glen Roberts.
EWP0603: " Spurious Regressions With Time-Series Data: Further Asymptotic Results", David E. Giles (This paper supersedes EWP0203.) Published in Communications in Statistics.
EWP0604: "On the Robustness of Racial Discrimination Findings in Mortgage Lending Studies", Judith A. Clarke, Nilanjana Roy & Marsha J. Courchane (This paper supersedes EWP0516.) Forthcoming in Applied Economics. (Final version of paper)
EWP0605: "Modelling the Duration of Interest Rate Spells Under Inflation Targeting in Canada", Ruby Shih & David E. Giles, Published in Applied Economics, 2009.
EWP0606: "Benford's Law and Psychological Barriers in Certain eBay Auctions", Ocean Fan Lu & David E. Giles, Forthcoming in Applied Economics Letters.
EWP0607: "The Exact Asymptotic Distribution Function of Watson's UN2 for Testing Goodness-of-Fit With Circular Discrete Data", David E. Giles  (This paper is superseded by EWP1201)

2005
05-01: "Overlapping Generations Models and Graded Age-Set Societies", Merwan H. Engineer & Linda Welling.
EWP0501: "Government Size & Economic Growth: Time-Series Evidence for the United Kingdom, 1840-1993", Wing Yuk.
EWP0502: "Convergence of Income Among Provinces in Canada – An Application of GMM Estimation", Mukesh Ralhan & Ajit Dayanandan.
EWP0503: "A Recursive Thick Frontier Approach to Estimating Production Efficiency", Rien Wagenvoort & Paul Schure, published in Oxford Bulletin of Economics & Statistics, 2006
EWP0504: "Price Index Convergence Among Provinces and Cities Across Canada: 1978 - 2001", Ajit Dayanandan & Mukesh Ralhan.
EWP0505: "Benford's Law and Naturally Occurring Prices in Certain eBay Auctions", David E. Giles, published in Applied Economics Letters, 2007
EWP0506: "Failed States and Failed Economies: Nationalism and Economic Behavior, 1955-1995", Carl Mosk.
EWP0507: "Survival of the Hippest: Life at the Top of the Hot 100", David E. Giles, published in Applied Economics, 2007
EWP0508: "Rational Exuberance at the Mall: Addiction to Carrying a Credit Card Balance", Kaili Shen & David E. Giles, published in Applied Economics, 2006
EWP0509: "Does Trade Openness Affect the Speed of Output Convergence? Some Empirical Evidence", David E. Giles & Chad N. Stroomer (pdf paper. This paper supersedes EWP0307)
EWP0510: "Increasing Returns to Information in the U.S. Popular Music Industry", David E. Giles. published in Applied Economics Letters, 2006
EWP0511: "Superstardom in the U.S. Popular Music Industry Revisited", David E. Giles, published in Economics Letters, 2006
EWP0512: "Direct and Indirect Causality Between Exports and Economic Output for Bangladesh and Sri Lanka: Horizon Matters", Judith A. Clarke & Mukesh Ralhan.
EWP0513: "Are Sports Teams Multi-Product Firms?", Kenneth G. Stewart & J.C.H. Jones.
EWP0514: "The Bias of Inequality Measures in Very Small Samples: Some Analytic Results", David E. Giles.
EWP0515: "Real-Time or Current Vintage: Does the Type of Data Matter for Forecasting and Model Selection?", Hui Feng.
EWP0516: "On the Robustness of Racial Discrimination Findings in Mortgage Lending Studies", J. A. Clarke, M. J. Courchane & N. Roy.
EWP0517: "The Bias of Elasticity Estimators in Linear Regression: Some Analytic Results", Chen Qian & David E. Giles, published in Economics Letters, 2007

2004
04-01: "Overlapping Generations Models and Graded Age-Set Societies", Merwan H. Engineer & Linda Welling.
EWP0401: "An Empirical Likelihood Ratio Test for Normality", Lauren Bin Dong & David Giles. Published in Communications in Statistics
EWP0402: "Testing for Normality in Linear Regression: An Empirical Likelihood Ratio Test", Lauren Bin Dong & David Giles.
EWP0403: "No, Virginia, There Isn't a Santa Claus (For Most Countries' Growth Cycles)", David Giles. Published in Economics Letters, 2005.
EWP0404: "The Behrens-Fisher Problem: An Empirical Likelihood Approach", Lauren Bin Dong.
EWP0405: "Testing for Structural Change in Regression: An Empirical Likelihood Approach", Lauren Bin Dong.
EWP0406: "Identifying the Cycle of a Macroeconomic Time-Series Using Fuzzy Filtering", David Giles & Chad Stroomer.

2003
EWP0301 "Capital Taxation, Globalization and International Tax Competition", Kenneth G. Stewart & Michael C. Webb
EWP0302: "Testing For Convergence in Output and in ‘Well-Being' in Industrialized Countries", David E.A. Giles & Hui Feng.
EWP0303: "Gender Convergence in Crime: Evidence from Canadian Offence Charge Data", Jyh-Yaw Joseph Chen & David E.A. Giles. Published in Journal of Criminal Justice, 2004
EWP0304: "Income Convergence and Trade Openness: Fuzzy Clustering and Time Series Evidence", Chad Stroomer & David E.A. Giles.
EWP0305: "Some Finite Sample Results on Testing for Granger Noncausality", Judith A. Clarke & Sadaf Mirza (Replaces EWP9914)
EWP0306: "Ruminant Eructation and a Long-Run Environmental Kuznets' Curve for Enteric Methane in New Zealand: Conventional and Fuzzy Regression Analysis", David E. A. Giles & Carl Mosk.
EWP0307: "Does Trade Openness Affect the Speed of Output Convergence? Some Empirical Evidence", David E. A. Giles & Chad N. Stroomer (Superceded by EWP0509)

2002
EWP0201: "A Comparison of U.S. and Canadian Residential Mortgage Markets", Marsha J. Courchane & Judith A. Giles, published in Property Management, 2002.
EWP0202: "Calculating a Standard Error for the Gini Coefficient: Some Further Results", David Giles, published, Oxford Bulletin of Economics & Statistics, 2004.
EWP0203: "On the Futility of Testing the Error Term Assumptions in Spurious Regressions", David Giles, superseded by EWP0603, & Published, Communications in Statistics, A, 2006, with a revised title
EWP0204: "A Cross-Province Comparison of Okun's Coefficient for Canada", Kwami Adanu, published Applied Economics, 2005.
EWP0205: "On the Relationship Between The Tax Burden and Income Convergence: Some Further Results", Kwami Adanu & Lili Sun.
EWP0206: "A SETAR Model for Canadian GDP: Non-Linearities and Forecast Comparisons", Hui Feng & Jia Liu, published, Applied Economics, 2003.

2001
01-01: "Who's Minding the Kids? An Economic Comparison of Sole and Joint Custody," Linda Welling & Marci Bearance.
01-02: "Overlapping Generations Models of Graded Age-Group Societies: Economics Meets Ethnography," Merwan Engineer & Linda Welling.
01-03: "Institutional Economics at Columbia University," Malcolm Rutherford.
01-04: "Walton Hamilton, Amherst, and the Brookings Graduate School: Institutonal Economics and Education," Malcolm Rutherford.
EWP0101: "Econometric Modelling Based on Pattern Recognition via the Fuzzy c-Means Clustering Algorithm", David E.A. Giles & Robert Draeseke, published in D.E.A. Giles (ed.), Computer-Aided Econometrics, Marcel Dekker, New York, 2003.
EWP0102: "Output Convergence and International Trade: Time-Series and Fuzzy Clustering Evidence for New Zealand and Her Trading Partners, 1950-1992", David E.A. Giles, Published in Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, 2005.

2000
EWP0001: "Export-Led Growth: A Survey of the Empirical Literature and Some Noncausality Results, Part 1", Judith A. Giles & Cara L. Williams (Supercedes EWP9901), published in Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, 2000.
EWP0002: "Export-Led Growth: A Survey of the Empirical Literature and Some Noncausality Results, Part 2", Judith A. Giles & Cara L. Williams (Supercedes EWP9901), published in Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, 2000.
EWP0003: "Modelling the Underground Economies in Canada and New Zealand: A Comparative Analysis", Lindsay M. Tedds & David E.A. Giles.
EWP0004: "Preliminary-Test and Bayes Estimation of a Location Parameter Under 'Reflected Normal' Loss", David E.A. Giles, published in A. Ullah, A. Wan and A. Chaturvedi (eds.), Handbook of Applied Econometric and Statistical Inference, Marcel Dekker, New York, 2001.
EWP0005: "A Saddlepoint Approximation to the Distribution Function of the Anderson-Darling Test Statistic", David E.A. Giles, published in Communications in Statistics, B, 2001
EWP0006: "Taxes, Risk-Aversion, and the Size of the Underground Economy: A Nonparametric Analysis With New Zealand Data", David E.A. Giles & Betty J. Johnson (This paper supersedes EWP9910), published in Pacific Economic Review, 2001
EWP0007: "Stratified Sample Design for Fair Lending Binary Logit Models", Judith A. Giles & Marsha J. Courchane, to appear in Journal of Real Estate Finance & Economics
EWP0008; "Testing for Two-Step Granger Noncausality in Trivariate VAR Models", Judith A. Giles.

1999
99-01: "Institutionalism as 'Scientific' Economics", Malcolm Rutherford. (Published, in R. Backhouse and J. Creedy (eds.), From Classical Economics to the Theory of the Firm: Essays in Honour of D. P. O'Brien, 1999).
EWP9901: "Export-led Growth: A Survey of the Empirical Literature and Some Noncausality Results", Judith A. Giles & Cara L. Williams (Now superseded by EWP0001 and EWP0002), and published in Journal of International Trade & Economic Development
EWP9902: "Our Fans in the North: The Demand for British Rugby League", J.C.H. Jones, J.A. Schofield & D.E.A. Giles, published in Applied Economics, 2000.
EWP9903: "Are Cigarette Bans Really Good Economic Policy?", Frank S. Reinhardt & David E.A. Giles, published in Applied Economics, 2001
EWP9904: "The Learning Path of the Hidden Economy: The Tax Burden and Tax Evasion in New Zealand", David E.A. Giles & Patrick J. Caragata, published in Applied Economics, 2001
EWP9905: "Modelling the Hidden Economy and the Tax-Gap in New Zealand", David E.A. Giles (Supercedes EWP9807 & EWP9810, published Empirical Economics, 1999, Fig 1, Fig 2, Fig 3)
EWP9906: "The Timing and Scale of Investment Under Uncertainty", John P. Small
EWP9907: "The Canadian Underground and Measured Economies: Granger Causality Results", David E. A Giles, Lindsay M. Tedds & Gugsa T. Werkneh, published in Applied Economics.
EWP9908: "The Rental Cost of Sunk and Regulated Capital", John P. Small & Henry Ergas.
EWP9909: "A Fuzzy Logic Approach to Modelling the Underground Economy", Robert Draeseke & David E.A. Giles, published in Mathematics and Computers in Simulation, 2001.
EWP9910: "Taxes, Risk-Aversion and the Size of the Underground Economy: A Nonparametric Analysis With New Zealand Data", David E.A. Giles & Betty J. Johnson, published in Pacific Economic Review
EWP9911: "Asymmetric Responses of the Underground Economy to Tax Changes: Evidence From New Zealand Data", David E.A. Giles, Gugsa T. Werkneh & Betty J. Johnson, published in Economic Record, 2001
EWP9912: "Testing for Unit Roots in Semi-Annual Data", Sandra G. Feltham & David E.A. Giles Published in D.E.A. Giles (ed.), Computer-Aided Econometrics, Marcel Dekker, New York.
EWP9913: "Is Adaptive Estimation Useful for Panel Models With Heteroskedasticity in the Unit-Specific Error Component? Some Monte Carlo Evidence", Nilanjana Roy
EWP9914: "Some Pretesting Issues on Testing for Granger Noncausality", Judith A. Giles & Sadaf Mirza (superseded by EWP0305)

1998
98-01: "The Underground Economy: Minimizing the Size of Government", David E.A. Giles (Published, H. Grubel (ed.), How to Spend the Fiscal Dividend: What is the Optimal Size of Government?, 1998)
98-02: "Testing for Unit Roots With Missing Observations," Kevin F. Ryan & David E. A. Giles (Published, T.B. Fomby and R.C. Hill (eds.), Advances in Econometrics, 1998).
98-03: "Modelling the Tax Compliance Profiles of New Zealand Firms: Evidence From Audit Records", David E.A. Giles, (Published, G.W. Scully & P.J. Caragata (eds.), Taxation and the Limits of Government, 2000).
EWP9801: "The Underground Economy: Minimizing the Size of Government", David E.A. Giles (Published, H. Grubel (ed.), How to Spend the Fiscal Dividend: What is the Optimal Size of Government?, 1998)
EWP9802: "Testing for Unit Roots With Missing Observations", Kevin F. Ryan & David E. A. Giles (Published in, T.B. Fomby and R.C. Hill (eds.), Advances in Econometrics, 1998, 203-242).
EWP9803: "Modelling the Tax Compliance Profiles of New Zealand Firms: Evidence From Audit Records", David E.A. Giles, published in Gerald W. Scully and Patrick J. Caragata, eds., Taxation and the Limits of Government, Boston, Kluwer, 2000.
EWP9804: "Simulating the Relationship Between the Hidden Economy and the Tax Level and Tax Mix in New Zealand", Patrick J. Caragata & David E.A. Giles, published in Gerald W. Scully and Patrick J. Caragata, eds., Taxation and the Limits of Government, Boston, Kluwer, 2000.
EWP9805: "The Learning Path of the Hidden Economy:Tax and Growth Effects in New Zealand", David E.A. Giles & Patrick J. Caragata, published in Applied Economics (Superceded by EWP9904)
EWP9806: "Robust Specification Testing in Regression: The FRESET Test and Autocorrelated Disturbances", Linda F. DeBenedictis & David E.A. Giles, published, Journal of Quantitative Economics, 1999.
EWP9807: "The Hidden Economy and the Tax-Gap in New Zealand: A Latent Variable Analysis", David E. A. Giles (This version also released as UVic Discussion Paper 97-08, and a longer preliminary version released as N.Z. IRD Working Paper 5a. Superceded by EWP9905, Fig 1, Fig 2, Fig 3)
EWP9808: "The Underground Economy: Minimizing the Size of Government", David E.A. Giles (Published, H. Grubel (ed.), How to Spend the Fiscal Dividend: What is the Optimal Size of Government?, 1998)
EWP9809: "Measuring the Hidden Economy: Implications for Econometric Modelling", David E.A. Giles, published in Economic Journal, 1999.
EWP9810: "Modelling the Hidden Economy and the Tax-Gap in New Zealand", David E.A. Giles (Supercedes EWP9807, and subsequently revised February 1999 as EWP9905, Fig 1, Fig 2, Fig 3)
EWP9811: "Gauss-Newton, Milliken-Graybill, and Exact Misspecification Testing Using Artificial Regressions", Kenneth G. Stewart, published, Econometric Reviews, 2000.

1997
97-01: "The Evolution of Money as a Medium of Exchange", Rosemary Luo
97-02: "Learning About Environmental Damage: Implications for Emissions Trading", Peter W. Kennedy
97-03: "Underemployment, Unemployment, and Job Vacancy Dynamics", John Kennes
97-04: "Matching Inexperience With Experience", John Kennes
97-05: "Entrepreneurs in Search Equilibrium", John Kennes
97-06: "Human Capital Vintages, Coordination and Economic Progress", Peter W. Kennedy and Ian P. King
97-07: "An Analysis of Import Protection as Export Protection Under Economies of Scale", Anming Zhang
97-08: "The Hidden Economy and the Tax-Gap in New Zealand: A Latent Variable Analysis", David E. A. Giles
97-09: "Human Capital, True Love and Gender Roles : Is Sex Destiny?", Merwan H. Engineer & Linda Welling (To appear in Journal of Economic behaviour and Organisation, 1999)
97-10: "The Rise and Fall of the New Zealand Underground Economy: Are the Responses Symmetric?", David E. A. Giles (Published in Applied Economics Letters, 1998)
97-11: "The Relative Importance of Money and Credit Channel of the Transmission Mechanism of Monetary Policy", Shigeyoshi Miyagawa and Yohji Morita
97-12: "Concession Revenue and Optimal Airport Pricing", Anming Zhang and Yimin Zhang
97-13: "Hedonics, Implicit Markets, and Demand Analysis: The Implicit Demand for Baseball Player Characteristics", Kenneth G. Stewart and J.C.H. Jones
97-14: Competition Within a Cartel: League Conduct and Team Conduct in the Market for Baseball Player Services", Donald G. Ferguson, J.C.H. Jones, and Kenneth G. Stewart

1996
96-01: "Transaction Costs and Competing Currencies", Merwan Engineer
96-02: "Costly Transfer Institutions and the Core in an Overlapping Generations Model", Merwan Engineer, Joan Esteban & Józsf Sákovics
96-03: "Bargaining-Induced Transaction Demand for Fiat Money", Merwan Engineer & Shouyon Shi
96-04: "Causality Between the Measured and Underground Economies in New Zealand", David E.A. Giles (Published, Applied Economics Letters, 1997).
96-05: "The Effects of Airline Codesharing Agreements on Firm Conduct and International Air Fares", Tae Hoon Oum, Jong-Hun Park and Anming Zhang
96-06: "An Analysis of Fortress Hubs in Airline Networks", Anming Zhang
96-07: "The Hidden Economy and Tax-Evasion Prosecutions in New Zealand", David E. A. Giles (Published, Applied Economics Letters, 1996).
96-08: "Applying the RESET Test in Allocation Models: A Cautionary Note", David E. A. Giles & Andrea S. Keil (Published, Applied Economics Letters, 1996).
96-09: "The Exact Risks of Some Pre-Test and Stein-Type Regression Estimators Under Balanced Loss", Judith A. Giles, David E. A. Giles & Kazuhiro Ohtani. (Published, Communications in Statistics, A, 1996) (figures)
96-10: "Testing for Asymmetry in the Measured and Underground Business Cycles in New Zealand", David E. A. Giles (Published, Economic Record, 1997) (Figure 1; Figure 2a; Figure 2b; Figure 3a; Figure 3b; Figure 4a; Figure 4b)
96-11: "Cities on the Sea: Communication and Concentration in Modern Japan", Carl A. Mosk
96-12: "Diagnostic Testing in Econometrics: Variable Addition, RESET, and Fourier Approximations", Linda F. DeBenedictis & David E.A. Giles (Published in A. Ullah & D.E.A. Giles (eds.), Handbook of Applied Economic Statistics, Marcel Dekker, New York, 1998)

1995
95-01: "Equilibrium Incentives for Cleaner Technology Adoption Under Emissions Pricing", Peter Kennedy & Benoit Laplante
95-02: "Exact Testing in Multivariate Regression", Kenneth G. Stewart
95-03: "Optimal Airport Pricing in a Hub-and-Spoke System", Tae Hoon Oum, Anming Zhang & Yimin Zhang (Published, Transportation Research, B, 1996)
95-04: "Parental Externalities and the Provision of Childcare", Peter Kennedy & Linda Welling (Published, Canadian Journal of Economics, 1997)
95-05: "Do Sting Operations Reduce the Incidence of Crime"?", Linda Welling & Christopher Bruce
95-06: "Capital Structure and Socially Optimal Capacity in Oligopoly: The Case of the Airline Industry", Tae Hoon Oum, Anming Zhang & Yimin Zhang
95-07: "Income Distribution in the United States: Kuznets' Inverted U-Hypothesis and Data Non-Stationarity", Peter Jacobsen & David Giles (Published, Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, 1998)
95-08: "A Vector Autoregressive Model of the British Columbia Regional Economy", Linda DeBenedictis (Published, Applied Economics, 1997)
95-09: "Stability of Cournot-Nash Equilibrium: The Multiproduct Case", A. Zhang & Y. Zhang (Published, Journal of Mathematical Economics, 1996)

1994
94-01: "Airline Network Rivalry", Tae Hoon Oum, Anming Zhang, & Yimin Zhang (Published in Canadian Journal of Economics, 1995)
94-02: "Demographic Regionalism: Challenge and Response in Prewar Japan", Carl Mosk
94-03: "Household Structure and Labour Markets in Prewar Japan", Carl Mosk (Published in Journal of Family History, 1995)
94-04: "Fertility in the Japanese Health Transition", Carl Mosk
94-05: "The Exact Risk Performance of a Pre-Test Estimator in a Heteroscedastic Linear Regression Model Under a Balanced Loss Function", Kazuhiro Ohtani, Judith Giles & David Giles (Published in Econometric Reviews, 1997)
94-06: "Salary Determination in the National Hockey League: An Empirical Exploration of Ethnicity Effects", J. Colin Jones, Serge Nadeau & William Walsh
94-07: "Alternative Strategies for 'Augmenting' the Dickey-Fuller Test: Size Robustness in the Face of Pre-Testing", Johannah L. Dods & David E.A. Giles (Published in Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation, 1995)
94-08: "Tax Competition and Specialization", Linda Welling
94-09: "Another Look at the Evidence on Foreign Aid Led Economic Growth", Judith Giles (Published in Applied Economics Letters, 1994)
94-10: "Rethinking Sustainability", Peter Kennedy
94-11: "Municipal Solid Waste Management: The Optimal Pricing of Garbage and Recyclables Collection", Peter Kennedy & Benoit Laplante
94-12: "A Competitive Theory of Labour Market Dynamics", Randall Gouge & Ian King (Published in Review of Economic Studies, 1996)
94-13: "Various Taxes for Social Security and Their Different Impacts on Growth", Jie Zhang
94-14: "Public Investment in Children, Growth and Fertility", Jie Zhang
94-15: "Testing the Significance of a Regressor After a Pre-test for (G)ARCH Errors", Judith Giles

1993
93-01: "Equilibrium Pollution Taxes in Open Economies With Perfect Competition", Peter Kennedy (Published in Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 1994)
93-02: "No Blank Bottom: Sliding Scale Contracts In the British Coal and Iron and Steel Industries 1850-1913", Nancy South
93-03: "Search, Unemployment and Growth", Ian King & Linda Welling (Published in Journal of Monetary Economics, 1995)
93-04: "Household Economy, Productivity and Unrest in Rural Japan, 1918-1940", Carl Mosk
93-05: "Competition in Airline Networks: The Case of Constant Elasticity Demands", Anming Zhang & X. Wei (Published in Economics Letters, 1993)
93-06: "Efficiency Wage Productivity Gain: The Japanese farm Household During the Interwar period", Carl Mosk
93-07: "Autocorrelation Pre-Testing Using a Balanced Loss Function", Matthew Cunneen & Judith Giles
93-08: "The Robustness of ARCH-GARCH Tests for First-Order Autocorrelation", Michael J. Sullivan & David E.A. Giles (Published in Journal of Quantitative Economics, 1995)
93-09: "On the Estimation of Regression 'Goodness of Fit' Under Absolute Error Loss", Kazuhiro Ohtani & David Giles (Published in Journal of Quantitative Economics, 1996)
93-10: "The Expectations Theory of the Term Structure: A Cointegration/Causality Analysis of U.S. Interest Rates", Robert Mandeno & David Giles (Published in Journal of Financial Economics, 1995)

1992
92-01: "Ponzi Games, Dynamic Inefficiency and Endogenous Growth", I. King (Published, with D.G. Ferguson, in Journal of Monetary Economics, 1993)
92-02: "Investment Decisions Under First and Second Price Auctions", I. King, R.P. McAfee & L. Welling (Published in Economics Letters, 1992)
92-03: "Languages as Communication Technologies", I. King & J. Church (Published in Canadian Journal of Economics, 1993)
92-04: "Education, Labor Segmentation and Occupational Specialization in Postwar Japan", C. Mosk
92-05: "Japanese Unions and Sunto Collective Bargaining: A Doleful Tale of Accumulation, 1954-1990", C. Mosk
92-06: "Gift Exchange and Labor Segmentation in Prewar Japan", C. Mosk
92-07: "Industrial Blackmail: Dynamic Tax Competition and Public Investment", I. King (Published in Canadian Journal of Economics, 1993)
92-08: "Limited Rationality and Industrial Organization Design", P. Kennedy
92-09: "Performance Pay, Productivity and Morale", P. Kennedy
92-10: "A Demand Externality in the Adoption of Cleaner Technologies", P. Kennedy
92-11: "On Violence in Professional Team Sports as the Endogenous Result of Profit Maximization", K.G. Stewart, D.G. Ferguson & J.C.H. Jones
92-12: "Pollution Policy: The Role for Publicly Provided Information", P. Kennedy, B. Laplante & J. Maxwell (Published in Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 1994)
92-13: "Comparative Costs of Out-Patient Lung Cancer Management", P. Coy, J. Schaafsma, J.A. Schofield & J.A. Nield
92-14: "Industry Structure and Compliance With Environmental Standards", D.H. Chua, P. Kennedy & B. Laplant (Published in Economics Letters, 1992)
92-15: "Strategic Labour Contracts", D.G. Ferguson & A. Zhang (Published in Canadian Journal of Economics, 1994)
92-16: "Bonus Contracting in Oligopolistic Markets", A. Zhang (Published in Taiwan Economic Review, 1994)
92-17: "Taxation, Equity and Growth: Exploring the Trade-Off Between Shareholder Dividend Tax Relief and Higher Corporate Income Taxes", S. Nadeau & R. Strauss

1991
91-05: "An Analysis of Common Sales Agents", A. Zhang (Published in Canadian Journal of Economics, 1993)
91-06: "Taxation, Financing and Corporate Investment: A Model of the Real and Financial Decisions of the Firm", S. Nadeau & R.P. Strauss
91-07: "The Methodology of Testing for Wage Discrimination With an Application to Gender Discrimination and Pay Equity at a Canadian Public Sector Employer", S. Nadeau, W.D. Walsh & C.E. Wetton
91-08: "A Macro-Econometric Analysis of the Effects of Taxation on Financing and Real Investment in Canada", S. Nadeau
91-09: "Dynamic Oligopoly Behaviour in the Airline Industry: An Empirical Investigation", J.A. Brander & A. Zhang (Published in International Journal of Industrial Organization, 1993)
91-10: "Sectoral Shift Models of Unemployment: Measurement Ahead of Theory?", I. King (Published in Bulletin of Economic Research, 1993)
91-11: "Rationality and Rule Following in the Old and New Institutional Economics", M. Rutherford (Published as Chapter 4, M. Rutherford, Institutions in Economics: the Old and the New Institutionalism (Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 1994))
91-12: "Limited Rationality and Organization Design", P.Kennedy (Published in Journal of Economic Behaviour and Organization, 1994)